Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 2.208700 2.519948 2.859498 3.257468 3.711225 4.212599 4.808830
2025-08-31 1.735885 2.160138 2.664297 3.307822 4.108000 5.071112 6.319905
2025-09-07 1.447116 1.911387 2.496463 3.288401 4.333645 5.668039 7.504599
2025-09-14 1.230416 1.706481 2.335981 3.230057 4.469308 6.129744 8.529901
2025-09-21 1.075871 1.556681 2.219538 3.201161 4.620850 6.604657 9.597203
2025-09-28 0.947304 1.423566 2.105114 3.152891 4.727068 7.011108 10.590893
2025-10-05 0.912420 1.419695 2.170939 3.366284 5.226177 8.019847 12.555354
2025-10-12 0.836482 1.343968 2.119656 3.393701 5.441172 8.616488 13.942126
2025-10-19 0.791926 1.311212 2.128794 3.512225 5.803929 9.466218 15.799214
2025-10-26 0.724145 1.233303 2.057540 3.491782 5.936320 9.954527 17.105594
2025-11-02 0.666393 1.165734 1.995682 3.478706 6.075693 10.460290 18.479457
2025-11-09 0.605097 1.085790 1.905026 3.406347 6.103912 10.775825 19.545623
2025-11-16 0.565821 1.044662 1.883979 3.466241 6.392442 11.607135 21.685593
2025-11-23 0.527491 1.002049 1.857550 3.516645 6.674835 12.466200 23.991246
2025-11-30 0.483852 0.944415 1.797171 3.496140 6.820409 13.084641 25.902978
2025-12-07 0.439980 0.881382 1.719846 3.434080 6.877823 13.538913 27.538706
2025-12-14 0.404787 0.831440 1.662133 3.403347 6.991405 14.108768 29.458749
2025-12-21 0.371090 0.780845 1.597838 3.352008 7.056560 14.585886 31.234188
2025-12-28 0.369233 0.795593 1.665806 3.578969 7.718031 16.334238 35.859197
2026-01-04 0.347910 0.766886 1.641404 3.608130 7.962734 17.238099 38.757718
2026-01-11 0.337091 0.759693 1.661265 3.734192 8.428815 18.654965 42.932541
2026-01-18 0.314488 0.724060 1.616430 3.712449 8.563947 19.362683 45.575182
2026-01-25 0.294487 0.692275 1.576941 3.698541 8.714720 20.117848 48.403650